Southern Miss
W-L: (40-20) PR = 96.6271Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 1- 5 214 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 8- 6 215 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 6- 5 217 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 3- 2 220 A UAlbany AE ( 1-10, 90.0) 5- 8 221 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 9- 4 222 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 5- 1 224 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 14- 4 227 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 8- 3 228 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 11- 0 301 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 6-11 303 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 7- 1 304 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 2- 2 306 A UC San Diego BW (26-29, 94.4) 9- 3 307 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 6- 1 308 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 9- 2 310 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 2- 1 313 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 5- 8 314 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 7- 1 315 A Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 2- 5 317 A Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 4- 6 320 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 5- 6 321 A UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 11- 4 322 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 5- 4 324 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 0-12 327 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 6- 5 328 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 2- 6 329 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 13- 4 331 H SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 1- 5 402 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 10- 4 403 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 8-10 404 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 8- 7 407 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 3- 2 410 H Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 8- 8 411 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 4- 8 412 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 5- 6 414 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3-10 417 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 8- 2 418 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6- 3 419 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 5- 4 421 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 5- 4 424 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4- 3 425 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 16- 7 426 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 3- 4 428 A Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 6- 7 502 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 2- 1 502 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 3- 1 503 H UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 7- 3 508 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 8- 5 509 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 11- 1 510 A Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 10- 5 514 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 14- 7 515 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 10- 1 516 H Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 11- 0 520 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 7- 6 522 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 7- 6 523 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 6- 9 524 H Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 11- 7 524 H Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 6- 2 529 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 4- 7 530 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 11-15 530 H Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 11-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H UC Santa Barbara 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.04
214 H UC Santa Barbara 8- 6 2 1 0.96
215 H UC Santa Barbara 6- 5 1 1 -0.04
217 H Stetson 3- 2 1 5 - -3.54
220 A UAlbany 5- 8 -3 6 --- -8.96
221 A Oregon State 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.33
222 A Baylor 5- 1 4 1 + 2.77
224 H Alabama 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.78
227 A Louisiana Tech 8- 3 5 1 + 3.71
228 A Louisiana Tech 11- 0 11 1 +++ 9.71
301 H UL Monroe 6-11 -5 3 --- -7.69
303 A Loyola Marymount 7- 1 6 5 1.01
304 A LSU 2- 2 0 -1 1.06
306 A UC San Diego 9- 3 6 2 ++ 4.47
307 H North Alabama 6- 1 5 4 1.10
308 H North Alabama 9- 2 7 4 + 3.10
310 H Ole Miss 2- 1 1 0 1.37
313 A Arkansas State 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.43
314 A Arkansas State 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.57
315 A Arkansas State 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.43
317 A Texas State 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.93
320 H Troy 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.08
321 A UConn 11- 4 7 2 ++ 5.40
322 H Troy 5- 4 1 1 -0.08
324 A Mississippi State 0-12 -12 -3 --- -8.61
327 H App State 6- 5 1 2 -1.12
328 H App State 2- 6 -4 2 --- -6.12
329 H App State 13- 4 9 2 +++ 6.88
331 H SE Louisiana 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.36
402 A Old Dominion 10- 4 6 3 + 3.36
403 A Old Dominion 8-10 -2 3 -- -4.64
404 A Old Dominion 8- 7 1 3 -1.64
407 A Memphis 3- 2 1 2 -0.58
410 H Georgia Tech 8- 8 0 -3 + 2.60
411 A Louisiana 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.87
412 A Louisiana 5- 6 -1 1 -1.87
414 A Ole Miss 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.28
417 H Texas State 8- 2 6 2 + 3.71
418 H Texas State 6- 3 3 2 0.71
419 H Texas State 5- 4 1 2 -1.29
421 H Tulane 5- 4 1 3 -1.90
424 A South Alabama 4- 3 1 1 0.24
425 A South Alabama 16- 7 9 1 +++ 8.24
426 A South Alabama 3- 4 -1 1 -1.76
428 A Tulane 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.54
502 H UL Monroe 2- 1 1 3 -1.69
502 H UL Monroe 3- 1 2 3 -0.69
503 H UL Monroe 7- 3 4 3 1.31
508 A Janes Madison 8- 5 3 4 -0.85
509 A Janes Madison 11- 1 10 4 +++ 6.15
510 A Janes Madison 10- 5 5 4 1.15
514 A Baylor 14- 7 7 1 ++ 5.77
515 A Arizona 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.87
516 H Georgia Southern 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.61
520 H Georgia State 7- 6 1 4 - -2.66
522 H Troy 7- 6 1 1 -0.08
523 H Troy 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.08
524 H Louisiana 11- 7 4 2 1.78
524 H Troy 6- 2 4 1 + 2.92
529 H Little Rock 4- 7 -3 3 --- -6.37
530 H Virginia 11-15 -4 1 -- -5.20
530 H Virginia 11-15 -4 1 -- -5.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A UAlbany 5- 8 -3 6 --- -8.96 301 H UL Monroe 6-11 -5 3 --- -7.69 324 A Mississippi State 0-12 -12 -3 --- -8.61 328 H App State 2- 6 -4 2 --- -6.12 331 H SE Louisiana 1- 5 -4 2 --- -6.36 529 H Little Rock 4- 7 -3 3 --- -6.37 213 H UC Santa Barbara 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.04 403 A Old Dominion 8-10 -2 3 -- -4.64 411 A Louisiana 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.87 414 A Ole Miss 3-10 -7 -2 -- -5.28 523 H Troy 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.08 530 H Virginia 11-15 -4 1 -- -5.20 530 H Virginia 11-15 -4 1 -- -5.20 217 H Stetson 3- 2 1 5 - -3.54 313 A Arkansas State 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.43 315 A Arkansas State 2- 5 -3 0 - -3.43 317 A Texas State 4- 6 -2 1 - -2.93 320 H Troy 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.08 428 A Tulane 6- 7 -1 2 - -2.54 520 H Georgia State 7- 6 1 4 - -2.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Alabama 14- 4 10 0 +++ 9.78 228 A Louisiana Tech 11- 0 11 1 +++ 9.71 329 H App State 13- 4 9 2 +++ 6.88 425 A South Alabama 16- 7 9 1 +++ 8.24 509 A Janes Madison 11- 1 10 4 +++ 6.15 515 A Arizona 10- 1 9 2 +++ 6.87 221 A Oregon State 9- 4 5 0 ++ 5.33 306 A UC San Diego 9- 3 6 2 ++ 4.47 314 A Arkansas State 7- 1 6 0 ++ 5.57 321 A UConn 11- 4 7 2 ++ 5.40 514 A Baylor 14- 7 7 1 ++ 5.77 516 H Georgia Southern 11- 0 11 5 ++ 5.61 222 A Baylor 5- 1 4 1 + 2.77 227 A Louisiana Tech 8- 3 5 1 + 3.71 308 H North Alabama 9- 2 7 4 + 3.10 402 A Old Dominion 10- 4 6 3 + 3.36 410 H Georgia Tech 8- 8 0 -3 + 2.60 417 H Texas State 8- 2 6 2 + 3.71 524 H Troy 6- 2 4 1 + 2.92 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 1- 5 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.47 -1.01
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 8- 6 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.47 13.16
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 6- 5 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 0.47 13.16
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 3- 2 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.47 9.90
3 A UAlbany ( 1-10, 90.0) 5- 8 -9.91 8.52 0.68 0.47 -2.15
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 9- 4 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.47 14.44
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 5- 1 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.47 12.99
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 14- 4 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.47 13.93
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 8- 3 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.47 12.94
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 11- 0 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.47 12.94
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 6-11 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.47 -1.39
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 7- 1 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.47 9.49
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 2- 2 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.47 0.00
3 A UC San Diego (26-29, 94.4) 9- 3 -5.48 12.94 0.68 0.47 12.71
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 6- 1 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.47 10.50
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 9- 2 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 0.47 10.50
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.47 14.48
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 5- 8 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.47 -0.86
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 7- 1 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.47 13.74
3 A Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 2- 5 -4.38 14.05 0.68 0.47 -0.86
3 A Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 4- 6 -4.88 13.54 0.68 0.47 -0.98
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 5- 6 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.47 -1.02
3 A UConn (28-29, 94.4) 11- 4 -5.54 12.88 0.68 0.47 12.65
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 5- 4 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.47 13.13
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 0-12 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.47 -0.03
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 6- 5 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.47 12.16
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 2- 6 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.47 -1.26
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 13- 4 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.47 12.16
3 H SE Louisiana ( 7- 8, 94.9) 1- 5 -4.95 13.47 -0.68 0.47 -1.31
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 10- 4 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.47 11.67
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 8-10 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.47 -1.38
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 8- 7 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.47 11.67
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 3- 2 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.47 12.66
3 H Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 8- 8 -0.00 18.43 -0.68 0.47 0.00
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 4- 8 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.47 -0.97
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 5- 6 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.47 -0.97
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3-10 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.47 -0.36
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 8- 2 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.47 12.00
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6- 3 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.47 12.00
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 5- 4 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.47 12.00
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 5- 4 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.47 11.44
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4- 3 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.47 13.43
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 16- 7 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.47 13.43
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 3- 4 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.47 -0.94
3 A Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 6- 7 -5.49 12.93 0.68 0.47 -1.12
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 2- 1 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.47 11.63
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 3- 1 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.47 11.63
3 H UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 7- 3 -5.28 13.14 -0.68 0.47 11.63
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 8- 5 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.47 10.54
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 11- 1 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.47 10.54
3 A Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 10- 5 -7.80 10.63 0.68 0.47 10.54
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 14- 7 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.47 12.99
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 10- 1 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.47 12.15
3 H Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 11- 0 -7.99 10.43 -0.68 0.47 9.10
3 H Georgia State (26-30, 93.6) 7- 6 -6.26 12.16 -0.68 0.47 10.72
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 7- 6 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.47 13.13
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 6- 9 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.47 -1.02
3 H Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 11- 7 -4.82 13.61 -0.68 0.47 12.06
3 H Troy (40-31, 96.2) 6- 2 -3.68 14.75 -0.68 0.47 13.13
3 H Little Rock (16-12, 93.9) 4- 7 -5.97 12.46 -0.68 0.47 -1.55
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 11-15 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.47 -1.04
3 H Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 11-15 -3.80 14.63 -0.68 0.47 -1.04
------
463.82
|
winning pts = 485.0793 losing points = -21.2605
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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